Risk Indicator Checklist: What Language Predicts What Action and When Concern Should Escalate

This checklist is designed to help readers understand how extremist violence rarely appears out of nowhere. Instead, it emerges through patterns of language that normalize grievance, erode democratic legitimacy, and gradually make harm feel justified or inevitable. Words are not just expressions of belief but signals of intent, rehearsal, and readiness. By tracking how rhetoric shifts over time, it becomes possible to identify when movements or individuals are moving from performative outrage toward real world preparation and action.

The levels outlined below should be read as a progression rather than a set of isolated categories. Groups may stall at one stage, accelerate rapidly through several, or oscillate between them depending on pressure and opportunity. The further down the list rhetoric travels, the shorter the distance to physical harm and the narrower the window for prevention. Used carefully, this framework allows researchers, journalists, and safety practitioners to distinguish protected speech from credible threat and to recognize when concern should escalate before violence becomes irreversible.

Think of this list as a progressive warning system. The further down the list a group or leader moves, the shorter the time horizon to real-world harm:

LEVEL 1 — Performative Grievance

Language indicators

• “Free speech,” “censorship,” “globalists”
• Mockery, irony, trolling framed as “just jokes”
• Focus on outrage and provocation rather than policy

What this predicts

• Online harassment campaigns
• Protest tourism and confrontational demonstrations
• Targeted doxxing-lite behavior (names, workplaces hinted)

Risk posture
🟢 Low immediate physical risk
🟡 High normalization risk (cruelty and dehumanization)

LEVEL 2 — System Delegitimization

Language indicators

• “Rigged system,” “fake democracy,” “courts are corrupt”
• Claims that voting or reform are meaningless
• Journalists framed as enemies or collaborators

What this predicts

• Sustained harassment of journalists and officials
• Willingness to violate protest laws
• Increasing attraction to extralegal action

Risk posture
🟡 Medium-term escalation risk
🟡 Democratic norm erosion

LEVEL 3 — Defensive Violence Framing

Language indicators

• “If it comes to it…”
• “We don’t want violence, but…”
• “Tyranny,” “we’re under attack”

What this predicts

• Justification of threats
• Applause for violence elsewhere
• Increased weapons rhetoric without deployment

Risk posture
🟠 Threshold risk — violence now morally permitted

LEVEL 4 — Inevitability & Acceleration

Language indicators

• “No political solution”
• “It’s already happening”
• “The collapse is unavoidable”

What this predicts

• Training talk (fitness, readiness, “discipline”)
• Increased interest in militias / fight clubs
• Shift from protests to preparation

Risk posture
🟠 High trajectory risk — preparing for conflict

LEVEL 5 — Identity Hardening

Language indicators

• Ethnic framing (“demographics,” “replacement”)
• Loyalty tests, purges of “weak” members
• Glorification of hardness, masculinity, suffering

What this predicts

• Splintering and radical consolidation
• Move toward closed groups and encrypted platforms
• Dehumanization of out-groups becomes explicit

Risk posture
🔴 High radicalization density

LEVEL 6 — Euphemized Policy Violence

Language indicators

• “Remigration,” “heritage protection”
• “Men’s clubs,” “community standards”
• Sanitized public posts paired with extreme private speech

What this predicts

• Recruitment expansion
• Structured training sessions
• Coordinated demonstrations with uniformity and discipline

Risk posture
🔴 Organized extremist activity likely

LEVEL 7 — Explicit Violent Intent

Language indicators

• “Race war is here”
• Advocacy of deportation “at gunpoint”
• Calls to execute politicians or journalists
• Praise or denial of genocides / Nazis

What this predicts

• Target identification
• Weapons acquisition or rehearsal
• Increased likelihood of lone-actor or cell-based violence

Risk posture
🚨 Imminent public safety risk

LEVEL 8 — Instructional & Command Language

Language indicators

• Step-by-step hypotheticals (“give me some guys…”)
• Operational metaphors (roundups, checkpoints, trucks)
• Repeated calls to arm and train

What this predicts

• Transition from rhetoric to action
• High probability of serious criminal violence
• Need for immediate intervention

Risk posture
🚨🚨 Critical threat

CROSS-CUTTING RED FLAGS (Any Level)

These accelerate risk regardless of stage:

• Two-track messaging (clean public posts + brutal private streams)
• Infighting purges that reward extremity
• Militarized aesthetics (uniforms, drills, masks)
• Platform migration after moderation
• Martyr framing following arrests or bans

How to Use This Checklist

• Researchers: map language changes over time to predict escalation windows
• Journalists: identify when “optics” diverge from intent
• Community safety analysts: prioritize monitoring based on language stage
• Policy makers: understand why early rhetoric matters

Bottom line: Violence does not arrive suddenly. It is spoken into existence, first as grievance, then as inevitability, then as policy, and finally as instruction.

Reverse Engineered De-escalation Leverage Points

The framework that follows is built on a simple but often misunderstood premise: most extremist movements are not disrupted by exposure alone. Public scrutiny can raise costs, but it can also accelerate adaptation, harden identities, and reward actors who thrive on attention. Effective responses therefore require precision, not just condemnation. The goal is not to “win an argument” with extremists, nor to catalogue ideology for its own sake, but to interrupt the pathways through which grievance becomes recruitment, recruitment becomes organization, and organization becomes real-world harm.

This approach is explicitly harm reduction oriented. It asks what historically reduces recruitment velocity, limits capability building, blunts intimidation, and increases the odds of early intervention without amplifying propaganda or validating extremist self-mythology. That means focusing less on what groups say about themselves and more on the infrastructure that sustains them: platforms, money flows, venues, social incentives, logistics, and legitimacy. Extremist ecosystems are fragile in specific, predictable ways, and those vulnerabilities tend to recur regardless of ideology, branding, or national context.

A second premise is that infighting and factionalism are not incidental. They are structural features of far-right movements and, if understood correctly, can be leveraged to reduce harm. Internal disputes over money, optics, purity, risk tolerance, and leadership often do more to degrade extremist capacity than external denunciation ever could. The stages outlined below therefore integrate a “factionalism angle” at each phase, not necessarily to encourage conflict, but to recognize where pressure predictably produces fragmentation rather than consolidation.

Finally, this framework is stage specific by design. What works at the level of attention capture does not work at the level of weapons talk; what deters recruitment may be ineffective once capability building is underway. Treating all extremist activity as a single undifferentiated threat leads to blunt responses that either miss early warning signs or overreact too late. By reverse-engineering deescalation leverage points at each stage, the aim is to support earlier, quieter, and more proportionate interventions—ones that reduce the likelihood of escalation while minimizing collateral harm to civil liberties, communities, and the information environment.

The sections that follow apply this logic step by step, mapping what has historically disrupted movements at each phase, what tends to fail, and where intervention is most likely to lower real-world risk rather than merely shift it elsewhere.

Stage 1: Attention capture and “normie” funneling (streams, memes, sanitized branding)

What actually disrupts attention capture (and who does it):

• Antifascist monitoring and exposure of back-channels: Online activists and antifascist researchers systematically observe Telegram, Discord, livestream chats, private forums, and alt-platform comments where rhetoric is less sanitized. Documenting the gap between public branding and private language, including slurs, violence fantasies, and explicit ideology, undercuts recruitment by collapsing plausible deniability.
• Network level pressure, not just takedowns: Reduce cross posting, mirror accounts, and algorithmic reach; focus on distribution not just content. Rather than chasing individual posts, online activists map distribution ecosystems; mirror accounts, cross-posting hubs, sockpuppets, and funnel links. This intelligence is used to pressure platforms, advertisers, payment processors, and app stores for consistent enforcement, reducing algorithmic reach without amplifying content.
• Search and narrative displacement: Ensure credible reporting outranks propaganda. Activist journalism and civil-society groups publish explainers, timelines, and receipts that outrank propaganda in SEO. This is a quiet but powerful intervention; potential recruits encounter context and contradiction before community.
• Pressure on institutions: Activists escalate documented findings to platforms, regulators, advertisers, and public broadcasters, forcing responses not through moral appeal but reputational and compliance risk.
• Demonetization and payment rails: recurring “movement” media often depends on subscriptions, tips, and storefronts. Drying cash reduces output tempo and travel.
• Factionalism angle: Exposure of private language fuels internal blame (“who leaked,” “who brought heat,” “who scared sponsors”) often triggering expulsions and splinter channels. Creators fight over money, credit, and audience capture. Targeting monetization tends to intensify internal blame (“you got us banned,” “you cost me income”), which can splinter coalitions.

Stage 2: Recruitment & belonging (clubs, “brotherhood,” identity bonding)

What disrupts recruitment (and who drives it):

• Infiltration and intelligence gathering: Antifascist actors quietly join open recruitment spaces, track onboarding pipelines, identify organizers, and log rhetoric shifts. The goal is not provocation but situational awareness; who is recruiting whom, where, and under what pretext.
• Pre-emptive venue disruption: Armed with credible documentation, community activists and civil-society groups alert gyms, halls, hotels, and parks departments before events occur. This upstream pressure often collapses activities without confrontation.
• Social consequence exposure: When lawful and responsible, activists reveal organizers’ own words to employers, venues, and communities using their private rhetoric, not activist framing. Recruitment drops sharply when “brotherhood” comes with real world cost.
• Pressure on institutions: Municipalities, venue operators, etc act not because of ideology policing, but because activists demonstrate misrepresentation, safety risk, and reputational liability.
• Off-ramps” and counseling referrals for family/community reporters: Many recruits are late teens/young adults (mostly male); interventions that preserve dignity reduce recidivism.
• Factionalism angle: Local chapters often resent “central” personalities and their drama. When venues close and travel becomes harder, locals either disengage or rebrand into smaller factions, which are easier to monitor and less capable of mass optics.

Stage 3: Public demonstrations & intimidation optics (overpass banners, stunts, marches)

What disrupts intimidation (and who executes it):

• Costly logistics: rapid, predictable constraints on mask/uniform intimidation (within Charter limits), traffic/permit enforcement, and tight event windows
• Intelligence led disruption: Antifascist researchers track planning chatter, travel coordination, and staging locations. Information is shared with communities and venues to deny access or shrink turnout, often before police involvement.
• Counter-optics without confrontation: Community activists deploy presence, signage, and noise not to clash, but to deny dominance imagery and starve groups of viral content.
• Journalistic refusal to launder branding: Activist journalists contextualize slogans, explain euphemisms, and avoid aestheticizing uniforms or formations. Exposure focuses on who planned it, why, and what they really say elsewhere; center affected communities and consequences.
• Pressure on institutions: Public officials are compelled to respond when activists demonstrate that intimidation optics are part of a broader pattern, not isolated “free speech” events.
• Factionalism angle: High-visibility actions produce the most infighting: disagreements over tactics, optics, and “cowardice vs recklessness.” Documenting internal contradictions, without platforming slurs. can erode recruitment. Public failures spark disputes over risk tolerance and competence; organizers accuse each other of incompetence or betrayal.

Stage 4: Harassment, doxxing, threats (journalists, officials, targets)

What disrupts harassment campaigns:

• Antifascist archiving and attribution: Online activists capture threats across platforms, link aliases to real identities, and document coordination. This removes anonymity without retaliation and enables consequences beyond criminal law. Standardized capture, hashing, chain-of-custody for platforms reduces the “it was just trolling” escape hatch.
• Civil and institutional escalation: Evidence packages are routed to employers, professional bodies, platforms, unions, and hosting services, forcing institutional response where criminal thresholds may not yet be met. Restraining orders, defamation (where applicable), workplace safety complaints, venue liability, often faster than criminal timelines.
• Collective visibility: Newsrooms, NGOs, and activist networks publicly back targets, denying harassers the isolation effect they rely on.
• Pressure on institutions: Sustained activist documentation forces platforms, regulators, and employers to act or explain why they won’t.
• Factionalism angle: When harassment backfires and leads to firings, lawsuits, or bans, movements fracture into PR containment vs. accelerationist wings. Splits can be leveraged by isolating the second wing through enforcement and platform actions.

Stage 5: Capability building (paramilitary talk, drills, hardened alliances)

What disrupts escalation without amplifying it:

• Focused enforcement on conduct: Firearms/storage violations, training trespass, intimidation, mischief/vandalism, hate-prop thresholds; credible, boring enforcement is often the most effective.
• Early exposure of intent and alliances: Antifascist investigators document language shifts, weapons fantasies, and links to hardened groups, well before violence, raising alarms with venues, insurers, and platforms.
• Travel disruption: Border scrutiny for foreign connectors; venue blacklists; insurance pressure.
• Event denial through pressure, not force: Camps, training sessions, and conferences collapse when hosts, landlords, insurers, and municipalities are shown evidence of extremist use and reputational risk.
• Cross-border and network scrutiny: Activists map international connections and share findings with journalists and civil society, increasing scrutiny and cost.
• Pressure on governments: Governments are pushed to respond not through mass policing, but via regulatory clarity, platform accountability, and public transparency, often following activist-driven revelations. Interagency information flow (municipal ↔ provincial ↔ federal): reduces “jurisdiction shopping.”
• Factionalism angle: Fear of exposure produces paranoia, purges, and defections; shrinking coordination and trust at the moment capacity would otherwise grow.

Integrated takeaway:

What this ecosystem demonstrates, pioneered early by groups like Anti-Racist Canada (ARC), is that antifascist intelligence, exposure, and pressure campaigns can disrupt extremist movements long before violence. By documenting what groups say when they think no one is listening, mapping who is involved, and pre-empting events and monetization, activists force institutions to act and movements to fracture. The result is not spectacle, but attrition: fewer recruits, fewer venues, less money, less confidence, and more internal conflict than outward power.

Conclusion:

Taken together, these deescalation leverage points underline a central finding: extremist ecosystems are sustained less by ideology than by infrastructure. Attention, money, venues, legitimacy, and social reinforcement matter more than slogans. When those supports are quietly constrained through consistent platform enforcement, venue policies, financial friction, and credible legal consequences, movements tend to fragment, lose momentum, and turn inward. This does not eliminate extremism, but it reliably reduces its ability to recruit, intimidate, and operationalize, which is the primary objective from a public-safety and democratic-resilience perspective.

Equally important, disruption is most effective when it is early, proportional, and cumulative, rather than reactive or spectacular. Heavy handed responses applied late can validate grievance narratives and accelerate radicalization, while targeted, stage-appropriate pressure applied earlier often produces disengagement, burnout, or self-limiting factionalism. The practical implication for activists, journalists, policymakers, and institutions is that success should not be measured by the visibility of enforcement or the drama of exposure, but by quieter indicators: shrinking participation, shorter lifespans of initiatives, fewer public actions, and reduced spillover harm to communities. In that sense, effective disruption rarely looks like victory. It looks like the slow denial of oxygen to movements that depend on it.

Howdy Folks! Been A While, Eh?

So I was sitting in front of the fire last night and I got to thinking about the blog. I hadn't logged on for at least two years (aside from the time I archived it after Blogger had restored it having removed it for a month because bad people don't like when the world know that they are bad people). I started looking at some of the articles and my attention very soon was drawn to "A History of Violence".

The last entries I had made were in the middle of 2020 and, well, we all know things haven't been rainbows and unicorns between then and now.

It started to bother me that there were so many incidents that had been taking place and very few people were maintaining any sort of history documenting them when they occurred. Of course, the fantastic Canadian Anti-Hate Network (of which I'm a board member) has been doing amazing work as are people like "Tony" (IYKYK) and Rachel Gilmore, but I felt that I needed to contribute at least in some way.

So, here it is. "A History of Violence: 1960 - 2025".

I have no doubt that I have missed a lot and I will be trying to fill in those spots as time goes on. And though I consider myself to be in semi-retirement and that the young folks have surpassed anything I was able to accomplish given my limited technological skill set, I think I may see where else I will be able to contribute.

So, though I make no promises, you MAY see some new posts here over the course of the next year. I'm thinking that they will be more of an historical retrospective looking at the various movements that have come and gone over the years, especially those years that the blog was active.

In the meantime, if you are looking for information on the far-right in Canada that is contemporary, I invite you to visit the Canadian Anti-Hate Network, Rachel Gilmore (her substack Bubble Pop or her YouTube channel), or "Tony" at Anti-Facism Canada.

Day 1 (?) Of "Save the Children" Convoy Lacks Convoy and People

So, what is new in "FreeeeDOOOMMMMMMM" convoy news in Ottawa? 

Yep. They are in Ottawa. 

Knock me over with a feather! Didn't see THAT coming! /sarc

I was going to post streams from a number of the players, but really, they all filmed the exact same thing so let's go with one. 

Ron Clark arrives with Tyson Billings, Chris Dacey, and a guy whose name I haven't bothered to learn to the song, "The Boys Ar Back in Town."

Sigh...

Holy hell this is just sad.

The requisite "the vaccine is killing people" conspiracy.

They're uhm... they're yelling at a building.

Corruption! 

Media bad! 

We're walking! 

Excitement?

It now appears the police have started issuing $1000 noise complaints. The rabble is not happy. 

Consider this to be foreshadowing.

"We're going to be here every day!" 

Okay. You do you.

Ron thinks shouting conspiracy theories at a camera person is an interview.

Now it is likely more might be coming in the next few days. One can probably count on that. But this seems to be a far cry from the 3 million promised by Shawn "Iron Crow" Bradley. 

But things would get a bit spicy as Crystal Peters was arrested.

Tyson "Freedom George" Billings discusses the aftermath of the arrest. 

Apparently it is funny because he understands "tactics".

Billings makes a plea for more people to come.

And he speaks to Walter Derksen whose sound system Peters was using when she was arrested.

• Rowdy court behaviour part of 'cluster' of sovereign citizen activity

Apparently he has a court hearing tomorrow morning and he will be telling the judge to watch the video of the arrest today which isn't how things actually work. Billings encourages people to attend the hearing to support Derksen, as well as the trials of Lich and Barber.

That looked like it was going to be the end of things tonight but tension continued to rise. I don't know what precipitated this -- someone suggested that he may have taken a swing at a police officer but I haven't seen any video to substantiate that claim -- but one of the protesters was tazed and arrested. You can hear at least one other person off camera making threats as well.

The following three clips were posted by Chris Dacey:

Suffice to say people are angry.

I'm not sure how many others will show. I believe there were some who stayed back at the camps who may be showing up when they decided to go in some force. I'm guessing the numbers will not be very high, but there might be enough to cause some trouble.

We shall see how things progress.

Big Time Conflict At "Save the Children East Meets West" Campsite

 So you thought yesterday's story was unhinged? You ain't seen noth'n!

Ron Clark, a conspiratorial streamer who was active in the Ottawa Occupation as well as subsequent anti-government and anti-LGBTQ+ events and who is participating in the "Save the Children East Meets West" convoy posted the addresses of the two camp sites that people are to meet at, but it is clear that there are... uhm... problems:

What kind of problems? Well...

Clip originally uploaded to Twitter by TikTok Scientist.

So what happened?

There was an incident tonight where people were at each others' throats and now each group is accusing those they just beefed with of being "infiltrators" controlled by the government. There are two main videos I've seen from different perspectives of the feud. I'll start with Jane Scharf's video first.

Scharf has been a figure in these circles for years. She and her group are trying to co-opt this effort for their project to have Prime Minister Trudeau arrested and put on trial for treason, crimes against humanity, and whatever else big and bad they can think of. These clips begin soon after they tried to take over the speaking slot:

Just as a reminder, all these people fundamentally agree with each other and STILL can't get along.

Let's continue with Gordon Berry's perspective. He starts out with his usual "energy" vibe and how the are unstoppable:

They talk about how there are no leaders! 

There are no organizers! 

They are just a bunch of good Canucks making good!

Immediately after saying there were no leaders or organisers... here are the leaders and organisers. They attempt a video showing their unity and unbreakable commitment to "saving the children" or something:

But propaganda fails when you don't control the narrative completely. 

It is at this point, they know, they f-d up.

You see, the members of Stand For Thee (I think that's the name, I don't really care because they are all pretty much indistinguishable) tries to take over. Tyson Billings calls them infiltrators which is the word of the day.

"Stand For Thee showed their true colours." 

These people think they are going to start a revolution. Dear lord!

It is at this point the person filming was going to stop by Berry insists they keep filming because everything is under control. They got this! Sure, someone was almost hit by a car, but its all good! Peace and love and vibrations baby!

"I called that bitch out" someone calls out. 

Uhm... peace and love indeed:

They decide to try to film their "non-organizer organizers" video again. Berry insists he sees that the system is collapsing, "they" can't stop it, and it is a beautiful thing. 

Dude, I kinda think we see what is collapsing here. It ain't any system.

They continue to have a challenging time organizing what will ultimately be a 15 minute video. Folks, these are the people who seem to think they will act as some sort of provisional government after they take down the government:

I COULD post the video of the non-organizers organizers speaking, but really, why?

These clips tell us much of what we need to know, which isn't something we didn't know already.

All this, and they haven't even gotten to the main event yet.

Incidentally, the guy who jumped on the car is thought to be this fella who evidently has some criminal charges and facing two upcoming court dates for two separate charges.

Fine people.

Far-Right Infighting Regarding the "Save the Children East Meets West" Convoy

While watching the infighting on the far right regarding the "Save the Children" convoy has been fun I wasn't going to write about it. Then Jason LaFace did a stream and, well, how could I not then? 

This clip sort of acts as a summary:

So let's start at the beginning shall we? 

Over the past few days far-right groups like Veterans4Freedom and Police on Guard For Thee have been warning their supporters and others not to participate in the "Save the Children East Meets West" convoy:

The reasons why are varied, but also include information Jeff Evely of V4F posted regarding what he heard at one of the secret meetings:

According to Jeff Evely of V4F the plan for the "Save the Children" convoy is to take over the Toronto financial district and when the police respond a second convoy will surround the police.https://t.co/k77KddvcHChttps://t.co/uf9GOihDn3 pic.twitter.com/QbadgqLS2r

— Tony the antifascist swan (@TonyYvce) September 28, 2023

V4F also released an audio in which "someone in the know" talks about the plan to surround police in the financial district in Toronto and that they had 3 million supporters, such as former police and military, who would help to remove the government:

• BREAKING NEWS: Leaked audio from Far-right convoy organization Veterans 4 Freedom shows an outlined plan to occupy Toronto.

I was initially sure that the voice in the clip was that of Marcus Ray, a far-right activist who participated in the Ottawa Occupation in February 2022. In fact I stated my belief that it was Ray in the Twitter (er... X I guess) thread that I originally published. However it is far more likely, certain even, that the voice is that of Shawn "Iron Crow" Bradley who is one of the Nova Scotia organizers and with whom Jeff Evely would have attended the secret meeting with.

Here is a clip for comparison:

6. So now let's go back and look at some of the key figures.

On September 20, Shawn Bradley ("Iron Crow") spoke favourably about the anti-LGBTQ+ protests that day, that they will not live as slaves, and that the time they would be moving was soon. pic.twitter.com/qPrLwoHP0A

— Kurt Phillips🧛‍♂️ (@ARCCollective) September 24, 2023

However while it was not Marcus Ray, I do think it is fair to suggest that his influence (or ideas) are reflected to some degree in this event. 

For example, Ray also spoke about surrounding police. He also talked about possessing an army of ex-police and veterans:

4. Yesterday Saccoccia was at another event that included a speaker named Marcus Ray.

His rhetoric is very concerning as he claims (and I do take it with a grain of salt) that 1000s of former soldiers and RCMP have been in training to take direct action against the government. pic.twitter.com/wSLjVTueh8

— Kurt Phillips🧛‍♂️ (@ARCCollective) April 14, 2022

We also know that Elliot McDavid, Gordon Berry, and Shawn "Iron Crow" Bradley, were in attendance at the "planning meeting" in Manitoba last Fall organized by Marcus Ray (thanks to a friend for these screen grabs of Berry in the top photo and Bradley in the bottom... the V4F t-shirt in the top one is rather ironic now):

1. Well this is the weekend organized by Marcus Ray where the brain trusts of the movement are getting together to strategize.

Among those there include Elliot Mcdavid who talks about owning a number of weapons "all over the place" and challenges the government to "bring it on." pic.twitter.com/zCZyulyKGq

— Kurt Phillips🧛‍♂️ (@ARCCollective) September 10, 2022

Finally, we see that the main eastern organizer, Gordon Berry, often wears a Constitutional Sheriffs t-shirt which was Marcus Ray's project (though the American-based far right group stated they didn't know of a Canadian branch):

 

In any case if Ray isn't involved his ideas appear to be being utilized:

But back to the released audio, suffice to say that the convoy folks aren't pleased and are claiming that this is all disinformation. Among those is Jason LaFace who here threatens to hack V4F's website and claims they and Jeff Evely are paid infiltrators:

For those who aren't aware of who Jason LaFace, formerly associated with the Soldiers of Odin, is, he was involved in the Ottawa Occupation and the infamous Memorandum of Understanding that would have been an end run around the elected government (and which had no chance of being agreed to):

• Introduction to The Memorandum of Understanding (archived)

Here are a few other relevant links:

• MPs Told to Hide From Anti-Vaxxer Convoy by Parliament Security Chief
• Some trucker convoy organizers have history of white nationalism, racism
• Sudbury man wants to ban the federal Liberal party
• 'It’s a joke,' says Sudbury man named in $306-million Freedom Convoy lawsuit

Jason LaFace is also prone to... uhm... outbursts such as his claim to have always known that V4F were government plants. He also claims that unions are trying to groom children. Basically throwing everything including the kitchen sink in his accusations:

You see LaFace is also an Alpha unlike the other Beta men in the country. Word of warning that this clip contains some really ugly homophobic missives and epithets:

In yet another virulently homophobic rant where he says the LGBTQ are Nazis (again, there is a lot of anti-LGBTQ epithets dropped) he says that people are arriving at the main camp in spite of the detractors:

Have I mentioned that he really seems mad at V4F and Jeff Evely, because he is REALLY mad at V4F and Jeff Evely:

LaFace talks about how he and his "cyber guys" (he thinks he is a hacker) have been exposing infiltrators. He also mentions his own criminal record and makes a threat: 

"Do you know what my family does to snitches? On my mom's side. Sicilians. Should I say more?":

Regarding the audio released by V4F, LaFace claims he can tell it is fake just by listening to it. They won't be violent, though he immediately undercuts this. 

Also, he talks to France and France tells him Canadians are wimps. 

Uhm... France is a country my dude:

But hey, he is willing to compromise on the name and not call it a convoy if people just show up because Canada only has months left before, oh I don't know, something happens?

It has been "a couple of months" now since 2015 at least in which Canada's collapse has been predicted.
 

These are long, bloody, months:

Now by this point you are probably inclined to believe that LaFace might be prone to hyperbole, but he will have you know he has been doing cyber for hours to expose the infiltrators:

He recounts a personal story about why he dislikes and distrusts V4F and, folks, I can't even. 

Dude claims to have organized an event with 10,000 participant when I'm not sure he can organize a backyard bbq with him as the only person who showed up:

Continuing his claims of self-importance, it was HE who spoke to all the real vets who supported the Ottawa Occupation and he has all their names and addresses written down which (a) is almost certainly not true and (b) would be TERRIBLE opsec if it was... which it isn't:

He calls out V4F and Diagolon's Jeremy MacKenzie who he says he knows are dangerous but that he is as dangerous if not more so: 

"I have my own army. Read my fucking criminal record.  You'll see the people I associate with." 

Also, snitches get ditches, not just stitches because, not violent.

As an aside I have no love for JMack or V4F, but I don't for a second think that they couldn't end LaFace in a heartbeat so Chester should probably not antagonize Spike:

I would note here that LaFace is currently in Alberta with no apparent imminent plans to go to Ontario himself, so keep that in mind as he continues to call people out:

LaFace mentions the MOU and how he (again) saved the day and probably the country single handedly. 

But yeah, 300,000 people signed it? And you have the hard drive? And are the only person who has it?

Totally things that have happened:

In claiming he would commit another crime to keep the hard drive from falling into police hands, he shares why he is keeping it and other artifacts.  

One day, they will be enshrined in a Museum of Freedom that commemorates their heroic efforts:

I'll finish with that clip because it really does go to the motivation of people like LaFace. They want to be famous. They want to be known for having done something great. They think they should be in history books. 

They want to be remembered.

These are people occupy the fringes of society but because they have been able to connect in an online echo chamber have convinced themselves they are movers of history.

When one looks at it that way, the likes of Jason LaFace, but also people like Pat King, Kevin Johnston, Jeremy MacKenzie, Artur Pawlowski, Tamara Lich and so many others becomes just so much more pathetic.

In the end I don't know if this "convoy" will go to Toronto. It seems that the police in Toronto may have acted in response to the recording released by V4F, though ultimately nothing happened on that day. In a recent stream by one of the participant it seems that he believes the final destination is Ottawa which makes some sense considering it is the seat of government and occupies a "Custer's Last Stand" symbolism amongst this crowd. That said the camp at Phelpston seems to be closer to Toronto than Ottawa so who knows?

Also Police tried to contact Norman Blanchfield because he's in breach of his bail conditions and they told him they'd arrest him. He refused to speak to them and instead did a livestream while driving to address the cops:

(Part 2) Normann Blanchfield went live and seems to be indicating the police are trying to call him regarding a breach of conditions. He repeatedly states the convoy is for the children, but no mention of how.#bridgestofreedom #freedomconvoy #savethechildren #eastmeetswest pic.twitter.com/wQWfsFX35O

— TikTok Scientist (@TiktokScientist) October 1, 2023

But there is more.

Elliot "Moose" McDavid also posted a missive attacking V4F as cowards and traitors:

In his rant he references the Marcus Ray event last Fall in which a V4F spy attended, though because it was QAnon crank Logan Murphy who is about as reliable as a train schedule in Greece they learned about this effort when Murphy spilled the beans to them.

McDavid also insists secrecy is important and that it will be peaceful but undercuts this statement by his next statement justifying being aggressive.

Also of interest, it seems big, brave, Elliot McDavid isn't himself going to Ontario as he criticized others for not going, though he does say he flip flopped back and forth and his heart is with those who are going so I guess that makes it all okay:

Finally in a rather telling rant, McDavid basically says that just because they are vets that it doesn't mean that the V4F members aren't traitors ans disgusting.

Support the troops, eh?

But he also mentions Marcus Ray, a man whom he considers to be a friend, claiming that he has no involvement and that they only wear the Constitutional Sheriff t-shirts because they like them.

I mean, since it isn't stained perhaps it is his dress t-shirt?

 I don't know what the outcome of the events that at being planned will be, where it will take place, and when it will occur.

But it very well be quite disruptive and potentially dangerous.

"Save the Children East Meets West" on the move... so long as (a) their cars don't break down, (b) they don't run out of gas, or (c) someone can pick them up on the way.

First a quick update. It appears that there what have been described as convoys from Quebec today that began today. Norman Blanchfield, who began his drive in Alberta, is currently broken down on the roadside 17 hours away. Gordon Berry also seems to be struggling with car problems:

Blanchfield also posted a copy of the demands they have on his FB page. Others have posted requests for money to buy gas and other necessities:

As the convoy proceeds (and we don't have any idea of numbers or destination other than somewhere in Ontario), one of the early participants who rejected the effort due to concerns he had based on the meetings he attended posted this message:

It seems some of the plans being made by the "peaceful" protesters may have involved kidnapping politicians. Also when discussing how innocent people are caught in the middle of violent encounters, another person casually commented that "collateral damage" is inevitable:

So now let's go back and look at some of the key figures. 

On September 20, Shawn Bradley ("Iron Crow") spoke favourably about the anti-LGBTQ+ protests that day, that they will not live as slaves, and that the time they would be moving was soon. Bradley speaks of "people power" and of this being their "last chance". He repeats sovcit lines like Canada is not a country, however most ominously, Bradley talks about how people people died for Canada when it was a country. Finally, Bradley urges people to sell their possessions in order to get the money they need to hold out at the location they are going to in Ontario, including selling their "second car":

Norm Blanchfield has posted a lot and I'm not going to touch on all of them, but here he talks about "their right" to, I presume, inconvenience others and usurp the Canadian electoral system. In fact there's lot's about "their" rights. Not so much concern about the rights of others or the responsibilities of citizenship:

Here we get into what is basically the premise of this effort. They are basing it on sovcit pseudo-legal woo:

Also, these folks have really drunk the "New World Order" and WEF Kool-Aid.

Blanchfield and "Dave Freedom" discuss the old Bill of Rights which was replaced by the Charter of Rights and Freedoms, but which plays an outsized role in Canadian sovcit lore and which they seem to believe is their get-out-of-jail card, so to speak:

They move on to Coutts. Blanchfield believes that the four are still in jail because they hired lawyers and that they would be out if they represented themselves. 

The Bar Association of is also part of the conspiracy, dontchaknow?

They say that they don't want to overthrow the government. No, perish the thought! Blanchfield and "Dave Freedom" simply want to arrest Prime Minister Trudeau, try him for treason, and install a new government and system "for the people".

They talk about the alleged victims, further claim Trudeau is guilty of treason (for reasons) and crimes against humanity (for other reasons):

I'm including this just because it made me laugh. Blanchfield says that "Dave Freedom" legally changed his name because this movement is so close to his heart. 

Also, folks, if you are arrested, don't rep yourself if at all possible. It probably won't go well:

Moving back to Alberta we have Ron Clark who says he will be leaving for Ontario on Monday morning. He believes that no one can stop them (they have the right to travel) and that this event will be historic:

The next few clips he complains about how protesters were treated during the anti-LGBTQ+ protests by the counter-protesters. In short, he is upset that counter-protesters can protest their hate, but the anti-LGBTQ+ can't harass vulnerable groups with impunity.

After briefly claiming Canada is rife with foreign UN troops coming to harm them, he continues to claim how they are the real victims of LGBTQ+ bullying for, you know, just existing.

Clark further gives away the game when he says that "regular" kids need a safe space from the LGBTQ+ ideology... which is basically treating everyone with kindness and basic decency when one thinks about it. Can't have their kids exposed to that I guess?

Here Clark says you don't need to pay taxes (you do) and that he doesn't understand the Canadian Pension Plan or basic investment and diversification strategies. Also, I would really avoid taking medical advice from Ron.

Clark calls the media liars and rehashes what he thinks are the outrages of the Ottawa Occupation and their treatment by the police, including a claim that rubber bullets were used on them.

Of this claim I have seen absolutely no evidence. Quite the opposite in fact.

This is the point where the implied threats really begin. Clark tells the police they need to pick a side, suggesting there would be trouble should they not pick the side they feel is correct. He claims that the police/military are following orders from a dictator and says that he isn't inciting anything, but then seems to use some rather coded language about NOT (wink) bringing guns and knives (wink):

He urges people to come in cars, trucks, tanks if you have them. They have the "right" to travel any way they wish. He also wants semis because the sound of the horns makes his soul happy. He wants everyone to come but if you can't he tells you to get your popcorn ready to watch the show.

The Ottawa Occupation was, in Ron's deluded mind, the most important historical event since the French Revolution it seems.

Also, his complaints about capitalism suggests Ron would be happy with socialism, however he also doesn't understand the meaning of words so...

After having spent half an hour rehashing imagined slights and oppression, he tells Black people and FNMI to stop living in the past and get over their real history of oppression and discrimination. 

I mean sure, Indigenous children were subjected to the residential schools and cultural genocide while African-Canadians have suffered from systemic discrimination for centuries, but have they been denied entry into a Tim Horton's unless wearing a mask?

Now, we end our look at Ron Clark with another implied threat. 

He says they will be peaceful, but they will not be "pushed around" by the police again. 

"Remember, there 238 of us to every one of them":

Moving on to Tyson "Freedom George" Billings whom readers will remember as Salacious Crumb to Pat King's Jabba during the Ottawa Occupation.

He too is going to Ontario, though he is weirdly cagey as to how he will get there. He suggests that the big demand is the removal of Trudeau and echos Ron Clark in stating the police won't be able to move them like last time. 

Also, send money. He's totally good for it.

Billings asks for military support. He also says that while they will be peaceful, should the police try to enforce the law that the police will have put themselves in harms way. 

"Don't put us in any danger, and you will not be in danger either":

More sovcit rhetoric; Canada is a corporation and not a real country. 

Billings also refers to the LGBTQ+ community as the mafia. Listening to him, it seems clear that Billings is just spouting rhetoric but doesn't actually understand any of it:

Want some new age spirituality combined with some Christian Nationalism? Billings is here for you. For example, did you know Ottawa is filled with evil spirits? Tyson Billings does apparently.

I mean, boring spirits I get, but I'm not sure I can really get behind evil:

Let's now move on the Gordon Berry who appears to be spearheading the eastern portion of this effort. To give you an insight into what he is about, here is a typical post on his Facebook profile:

And it probably shouldn't be a surprise to learn the "save the children" thing is really a pretext for what they really want to do:

Berry seems to believe this is iminent, though some want to do more than simply arrest the Prime Minister:

We begin with Gordon Berry driving to another meeting wearing a "Constitutional Sheriff" t-shirt which was probably purchased when he was associated with Marcus Ray.

And yes, he is driving (and yawning) while he streams which, I mean, seems really safe. 

Why was he yawning. Sleep deprivation of course. 

I'm sure he is fine to drive on a busy highway though.

Berry will talk about the importance of vibrations and frequency now and throughout the video. 

More importantly though...

JFC! KEEP YOUR HANDS ON THE DAMN WHEEL OR YOU'RE GOING TO END UP KILLING SOMEONE YOU ABSOLUTE CLOWN!!!!

I actually think this clip is the most telling of all that I'll post today. In addition to the sovcit woo, Berry says that they can "create their own reality" the benefits them by simply manifesting it into existence.

In other words because they can't accept reality as it is, they will pretend it isn't happening and make one up that conforms more to the narrative they believe but for which there is no actual evidence for, refusing to recognize evidence that contradicts them:

Apparently vaccines are harmful, dinosaurs weren't real, and space doesn't exist, but  his new age understanding of energy and consciousness is "scientifically proven." 

God help us with these people...

We now have a stream of consciousness about the police and I'm left wondering how many Monster Energy drinks he has consumed in the past 24 hours. 

I'm going with a baker's dozen as my guess:

Berry states that children are being indoctrinated which is in keeping with what we have been seeing being claimed by the far-right in their latest crusade against the LGBTQ+ community. 

As a teacher, if I COULD indoctrinate my students, it would only to convince them to get their assignments in on time:

To sum up Berry's attitude towards other "patriot" groups they are in dispute with, "they hate us 'cause they ain't us":

Energy baby! ENERGY!!!!

Peaceful Gordon Berry talks about the foreign troop conspiracy and acknowledges he doesn't really know anything for certain, but that our soldiers have the right to kill them. 

Not that HE is suggesting they do that, of course:

He wants the police and military to join forces with him, defacto yadda yadda, and of course energy:

We must come together as one! 

Also, BLM and antifa have no souls and are probably lost forever.

Uhm... unity?

Politicians are all criminals and will be dealt with accordingly. 

So much for innocent unless proven guilty in the world Berry wants to manifest, eh?

That said he does go on to explain why he doesn't like courts. They are evil because they wont do what he wants them to do:

He provides the example that even Max Bernier suggested there was a process for arresting Trudeau on charges of treason.  Berry thinks it should just happen because of what he thinks is a mountain of evidence (including long debunked claims he was fired as a teacher due to an illicit relationship with a student)... none of which is ACTUALLY true OR evidence of treason:

With Berry out of the way now, lets look at Elliot McDavid.

If that name is familiar it is because he was the yobb who, in August 2022, recorded himself harassing Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland in Grande Prairie:

• Threatening the Deputy Prime Minister in city hall triggers internal investigation

In a thankfully short clip, he talks about how he will be leaving for Ontario soon too:

Now these are of course not the only people who will be, plan on, or are hoping to go to Ontario.

For example, Clifford "Apollo" Tabor, an especially aggressive individual who tried (and failed) to get an army of millions to Ottawa to remove the government want in.

If he can get a ride that is:

In an unexpected turn of events, Apollo Tabor is back and inserting himself into the East Meets West Convoy. Given his calls for violence before, does this mean he is planning his violence for Toronto now? #apollotabor #clifftabor #cliffordtabor #eastmeetswestconvoy pic.twitter.com/4ti8FqiuIm

— TikTok Scientist (@TiktokScientist) September 23, 2023

You see, this is sort of a thing because if one is really interested in "protecting the children" you might be inclined to give Tabor the side eye:

• R. v. Tabor, 2003 SKCA 59 (CanLII)

Clifford Tabor was charged with the second degree murder of three year old Kimberly Melissa Kelly.  On May 6th, 2003 he applied for judicial interim release pursuant to s. 522 of the Code before Madam Justice Hunter.  She found the appellant had failed to discharge the onus to justify why his custody was not justified pursuant to s. 515(10) of the Code and denied the application.  He appeals that decision pursuant to s. 680 of the Code.

Also, if you are going to bring a circus to town, expect the clowns to arrive as well:

There is a new ̶i̶n̶s̶u̶r̶r̶e̶c̶t̶i̶o̶n̶ ̶ convoy being planned. This time they want to “save children.” Jason LaFace reads their wish list, which includes: 1. Remove political parties. 2. Remove sexual education from schools and 3. Release the Coutts dags. pic.twitter.com/t4axwZlyNc

— Nota Convite (@notaconvite) September 23, 2023

Jason LaFace was involved in the Ottawa Occupation (and was sued as a result). This past spring he tried get a mass of people to go to Ottawa where they would not leave until the Governor General decertified the Liberal Party:

• Sudbury man wants to ban the federal Liberal party

Suffice to say, the Liberals still exist as a political party and Jason left town in less than a week having convinced a dozen or so to join him.

It seems that Jason, along with others, have been added to the "go-to" list for anyone with questions. They participants are using a signal group and 2 way radio for communication:

Still there is some concern about this going south, even among members of the far-right.

Diagolon for example is very suspicious:

To be fair, he is probably right about them planning something stupid while also being wrong about them being "feds".

And others are also sounding the warning bell:

And of course, one can not discount their own incompetence getting in the way. As I write this there is a huge argument among participants. Seems that Norm Blanchfield is upset someone gave away the super secret location and date, though I think we all could have at least guessed the location:

If you understand French this live is hilarious. The chuds don’t now where to go 🤣🤣🤣 https://t.co/cScTfTTdj1

— Nota Convite (@notaconvite) September 24, 2023

So this really is going just as well as you might have expected.

Still...

While I don't expect that the same number of people will show up to the as now mystery destination as they did to Ottawa in February 2022, but those who do participate may be more aggressive (and, quite frankly, dumber) which isn't a good thing.

They are buffoons, but still capable of causing harm.

UPDATE 1: Things are going just great!

We have some Quebecois drama! Carl has 50k followers on FB. His lives pull in hundreds. This morning he told everyone it was go time for Freedom Convoy 2023. It didn’t work out the way they expected. No one knew where to go. He is now pissed with Normand Blanchard. pic.twitter.com/oa25XSqEpP

— Nota Convite (@notaconvite) September 25, 2023

In the meantime, Jane Scharf appears to be trying to take over the convoy effort herself: